(R)evolutions in Political Risk Assessment

Global expansion of businesses requires an understanding of varied political landscapes and regulatory environments in new markets.  Political risk analysis aids business strategy by early identification of threats that may directly impede business performance and obstruct return on investments. Instability of political regimes in the MENA region, acts of terrorism globally, threats of sanctions, and national elections in emerging markets are only some events of this year that have had significant bearing on conducting business internationally. This panel will explore the evolution of political risk analysis and its incorporation within a firm’s broader risk management strategy. In addition, the panelists will share their insights into the existing tools and frameworks to measure political risk and strategies adopted to mitigate it.

 

 

Investment & Operations in Complex Environments

Firm strategy in complex areas requires deep knowledge of host-nations, starting from market entry and continuing through the life cycle of the business. The inherent challenges of operating in emerging and frontier markets arise not only from the policies and politics of the host countries but, in some cases, sociopolitical instability and violent conflict. How can a company successfully employ political risk management and corporate security strategies to ensure that anticipated financial gains will be captured, and that operations, personnel, and assets will be protected? How do businesses and markets survive amidst conflict? What opportunities exist amidst uncertainty? Panelists will explore the relationship between country and corporate risks and how companies and investors manage this balance in complex environments.

 

 

 

The Shifting Geopolitics of Oil & Gas: Risks & Opportunities

The IEA reports that global oil consumption will rise from 90 million barrels per day in 2013 to 104 million barrels per day in 2040, and estimates that $900 billion of investment annually will be necessary to meet that growth. Amidst this increasing global demand for energy, driven in large part by the developing world, the American shale revolution and technological advancements in the extraction and storage of liquefied natural gas has altered the international energy market and resulted in dropping gas prices. Meanwhile, tensions over Ukraine and related economic sanctions against Russia have pushed the energy giant to increase ties with China, and an increasingly unstable Middle East poses questions for global energy security. The patterns of energy supply and demand that have long defined the global economy are in flux. What is the future of the global energy landscape? This panel will address the risks and opportunities that investors face as a result of these economic and geopolitical shifts.